Kentucky Oaks Betting Odds Comparison - Churchill Downs

06/05/2022 22:30:00

The Kentucky Oaks is one of many horse races that had to be postponed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, although the 2020 renewal is now set to take place on Friday 4 September 2020 and we’re looking forward to a race which was originally scheduled to be run in May.

The Kentucky Oaks is one of the most famous horse races in the United States, with the race being founded in 1875 and it is run over a distance of 1 1/8 miles. You will find that the betting market can change frequently in the build-up to the off, while many punters will include selections for this race in their betting accumulators.

We look ahead to the big race and put together some predictions for what might happen along with other information that punters might find useful.

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2020 Kentucky Oaks Predictions and Tips

We have three horses trading at a roughly similar price to win the Kentucky Oaks and you can see why VENETIAN HARBOR is among the favourites. The runner is due to make a final prep run in the Grade 1 Ashland Stakes at Keeneland Racecourse on 4 April before taking her chances in the big race at Churchill Downs. The filly was thoroughly impressive when winning a maiden at Santa Anita in December, with Venetian Harbor romping home by over ten lengths in the race.

Nevertheless, she’ll have some stiff competition and that includes TONALIST’S SHAPE who will also arrive for the Kentucky Oaks with impressive form which suggests that this could be the horse to beat. On 29 February, the horse booked her place in the big race by remaining undefeated by winning the $200,000 Davona Dale at Gulfstream Park. It has now been five consecutive wins including three straight victories in graded company.

FINITE is another horse that could be duking it out at the top of the market and she’s another runner that has barely put a foot wrong on dirt this season, with Ron Winchell, Thomas Reiman, William Dickson and Deborah Easter's charge having landed consecutive victories on the Fair Grounds trail, defeating the 2019 champion juvenile filly British Idiom in the process.

Speaking of BRITISH IDIOM, she clearly has improvement to find in order to win the Kentucky Oaks, although she was champion in the juvenile rankings last season and potentially did need the last race in order to prepare properly for Churchill Downs. Jockey Javier Castellano claims that the horse can frank the form when it comes to the May showdown.

SPICE IS NICE finished second to Tonalist’s Shape in the Davona Dale and the connections will draw confidence that the defeat was less than two lengths, with the horse being the first foal out of Grade 1 winner Dame Dorothy and there was plenty to like about her debut on 12 January.

Can Anyone Stop Gamine Winning 2020 Oaks?

Legendary trainer Bob Baffert has an incredible strike rate when it comes to the American classic races and he looks to have a jewel in the form of Gamine who has shone this season when the opportunities have arisen.

The three-year-old was actually disqualified on her first outing at Oaklawn Park, although there have been subsequent victories at Belmont Park and Saratoga, with the latest win being a seven-length triumph over seven furlongs with a Grade 1 victory in the Longines Test Stakes.

Nevertheless, this is hardly a horse with a long track record of excellent performances and there will be plenty of viable contenders lining up for this race, with Swiss Skydiver trading as short as 2/1 to claim the spoils and there will be plenty of punters backing this horse instead.

The three-year-old has heaps more experience than Gamine, with Kenneth McPeak already training her to several successes and the first took place at Churchill Downs last November when we saw Swiss Skydiver claim a Maiden Special Weight race victory.

Since then, there have been wins at Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, Santa Anita and Saratoga, with the horse regularly winning at the distance that the 2020 Oaks will be run over.

Which Horses Can Also Win the Kentucky Oaks 2020?

Speech is the other American horse that has been impressive and has been priced up by all the bookies at single figure odds. This filly finished second to Swiss Skydiver at Santa Anita in June, with the horse finishing four lengths behind the eventual winner and trainer Michael McCarthy would really need his horse to produce something special this time around.

Bonny South is another horse worth a second glance, with the runner finishing second behind Swiss Skydiver at Saratoga in August, having previously run at Keeneland and finishing well down the pecking order in a race that was won by Speech.

Kentucky Oaks Betting Odds

The bookies are finding it hard to split the first three in the betting, with William Hill making Venetian Harbor and Tonalist’s Shape the 4/1 joint-favourites, although Finite is a bigger 6/1 with the same bookmaker and perhaps that is the profitable each-way bet.

British Idiom has drifted in the market to 7/1 and everything else can be backed at a double figure price, with Donna Veloce available at odds of 10/1. Spice Is Nice and Harvey’s Lil Goil are trading at odds of 12/1.

How to Bet on the Kentucky Oaks

The Kentucky Oaks is a historic race spanning back to 1875 when Vinaigrette was the first ever winner of the encounter, with big crowds always descending on Churchill Downs to witness some of the best three-year-old fillies in the United States of America.

We’ve seen trainer Bob Baffert triumph three times in previous years, with the famous American landing the spoils with Abel Tasman in 2017, while there were also successes on Plum Pretty (2011) and Silverbulletday back in 1999.

There is the choice to either bet win only on the race or alternatively bet each-way, while there are a number of alternative wagers and it might be possible to bet on place only.

With the race taking place over 1 1/8 mile, this is a truer test of speed than stamina, with Bird Town holding the speed record over this distance with 1:48:64.

The 2019 race winner was Serengeti Empress who was trained by Tom Amoss, with jockey Jose Ortiz experiencing victory in this race for the first time. She was able to beat Liora and Lady Apple into second and third place respectively, although the winner actually drifted on the morning of the race.

After an opening show of 8/1, there was a distinct lack of punter confidence in the horse who drifted out to 13/1, although a crowd of over 100,000 people saw her win despite the fact that the build-up to the race had seen her bleeding.

The History of the Kentucky Oaks

As mentioned, Bob Baffert has been successful in the Kentucky Oaks before, with the American having landed victories with horses such as Abel Tasman in 2017 and Plum Pretty in 2011.

The race initially took place in 1875 and is one of the most historic races in the history of United States of America horse racing, with the distance now 1 and 1/8 miles, with this being a feat of speed and stamina on a familiar Churchill Downs track in Kentucky.

Unfortunately, there won’t be any spectators in attendance for the latest renewal of the Kentucky Oaks 2020, with this previously attracting crowds of over 100,000, although we should still expect lots of Kentucky Oaks betting odds and interest.